In my opinion, it will be “Lincoln” or “Argo” and Lincoln is much better artistically, even if the ending was off. “Argo” didn’t make me care about the characters and Lincoln was everything I thought it would be and was incredibly well put together. Also, because Ben Affleck wasn’t nominated for best director, it’s unlikely that his movie will win, unless the Academy hates him (which is possible).
Steven Speilberg is going to win, but Haneke was better. To build such a simple and moving story and to pull realistic performances out of his actors the way that Haneke did was genius and it’s great that he’s at least getting recognized for what he’s done.
He was completely believable and personal and I can’t imagine anyone else winning.
I love Emmanuelle Riva and she gave a stunning performance of a woman who has had multiple strokes. It was heartbreaking and wonderful and she needs to win.
I’m taking this on faith because I haven’t seen “The Master”, but Hoffman is generally good and I’m willing to go with it.
To be that vulnerable and that open on camera is extremely difficult, especially when you are performing such an iconic piece. Hathaway did it beautifully and made me and probably thousands of others cry.
“Moonrise Kingdom” was smart, quick, and unexpected and the fact that all of this came out of someone’s head is amazing and deserves an award.